Core determinants of the regional prognostic scenario. Global technological transformation and a new paradigm of military affairs

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Abstract

The authors believe that, in the first approximation, the core determinants are: global technological transformation and a paradigm shift in military affairs, geo-economic divergence as a result of geopolitical confrontation and radical shifts in the demographic matrix of the region. In this article, the authors focused on the first and second topics. In Latin America, which retains signs of periphery, there will be a phase lag in technological renewal, complicated by the complexity of society and the economy. To a certain extent, the LCA remains aloof from the main line of geopolitical confrontation, but at the same time it does not escape the indirect impact of the military revolution. We are talking about changes in the regional market of military equipment, as well as the evolution of the functional use of the armed forces.

About the authors

Vladimir Mikhaylovich Davydov

Institute for Latin American Studies, RAS; P. LUMUMBA Peoples´ Friendship University of Russia (RUDN)

Russian Federation, Moscow

Alexandr Yur'evich Stepanov

Institute for Latin American Studies, RAS

Russian Federation, Moscow

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